Title : Help Me With This Math, Will 'Ya?
link : Help Me With This Math, Will 'Ya?
Help Me With This Math, Will 'Ya?
It's early morning, and I'm off coffee today (which means that I'm one step from zombieland).I was reading this article from Science Alert about the coronavirus. As it's morning, and - 'ya know, caffeineless - I decided to do some low level number crunching.
You may have heard that the risk is "only" about 3%. Well, that's true. And, when you take the number affected - 2700 - and divide that by the number that died - 81 - you end up with 33.3 (repeating).
That means that of every 33 people that have been diagnosed with the virus, ONE has DIED.
No, it's not as terrifying as Ebola. But, for a seemingly no-big-deal respiratory virus to cause DEATH in 3% of those catching it, is a BFD, to quote a former VP (and likely loser in 2020 Presidential race).
We all know how diseases spread through schools. In a big viral outbreak, it's not uncommon for perhaps 1/3 of the class to be affected. In a school of perhaps 500 students, that would be 167 of them (rounded). When you multiple 167 * 0.03 (the percentage affected), that means in every similar sized school, FIVE kids will die.
If even half of them pass the virus on to their family (say, for an average of 2 more people for every child infected), that means TEN students will lose a family member.
Check my math - I'd be thrilled to be wrong.
But, I'm afraid I am not.
Thus Article Help Me With This Math, Will 'Ya?
That's an article Help Me With This Math, Will 'Ya? This time, hopefully can give benefits to all of you. well, see you in posting other articles.
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